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Forecasting
You can use forecasting to predict the outcome of your business and operational data points. For example, you can see whether a trend goes upwards or downwards when it comes to Robot utilization captured below.
Forecasting uses the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) algorithm to predict how your data results are going to change over time.
- Predict and monitor business impact, including time and money saved over time.
- To indicate the direction of a measure in a defined timeline (e.g., Robot utilization, Job success rate, Money saved, Time saved).
To create a forecast, you need to configure the Explore to include timeframe dimensions and then add default or custom measures. In this example, we cover forecasting Robot utilization, or how the number of running processes will change over time.
For this example, the following fields are used:
- Dimension:Jobs > End Date > Month
- Measures:Processes Ran
Step 2: Configure forecasting settings
- Open Insights.
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Use an existing dashboard or create a new one.
In this example, you can create a new tile.
- Navigate to Edit Dashboard > Add Tile
- Select the Jobs Explore.
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Search for the following variables or navigate using the left-hand sidebar.
- Dimension:Jobs > End Date > Month
- Measures:Processes Ran
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Set a filter for the Jobs End Month Dimension to capture a timeframe (e.g., up until the beginning of the month)
For this example, we set the filter with the following conditions:
- is before
- (absolute)
- March 1
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Click Run to run the query and trigger the visualization.
Make sure that your Explore meets the following conditions:
- Include exactly one timeframe dimensions (with dimension fill enabled).
- Include at least one default or custom measure.
- Forecasts can include up to five default or custom measures.
- Filter results by the timeframe dimensions in descending order (e.g., last three months).
- Make sure that the visualization that you are trying to build meets the query requirements.
After you create and run your query, go to the Visualization tab to select a measure by which the forecast is going to be done.
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Click Forecast and then add a measurement field.
For this example, only Processes Ran will show up as this is the field that has been added to the Explore. You can add up to five measurement fields to the forecast.
- Set the Length of the forecast by entering a time period in months (e.g., 3 months).
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Set the Prediction Interval. The default value is set to 95%. The prediction interval shows you how accurate the estimation is going to be. Using the default value means that it is 95% likely that the future value (e.g., Processes Ran) will fall between the upper and lower bounds of the forecast.
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Configure the Seasonality to account for predictable data variations that make up a cycle in the forecast.
Use this option if you can account for known or yet-to-be-seen patterns in the data. Otherwise, it might lead to inaccurate estimates.
- Automatic: Detect any variation in the data set automatically.
- Custom: Specify the number of rows that make up a cycle for your data.
- None: Use this if there is no predictable cycles in the data.
- (Optional) Click Settings to configure the look and feel of the forecast, such as plot styles, grid lines, trendline style, axis details and fonts.
- Click Run to run the query and trigger the visualization.
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Save the forecast as a new dashboard.
- Open Insights.
- Navigate to your forecast dashboard.
- Click the 3-dot menu in the top-right corner of the dashboard and select Edit dashboard.
- Click the 3-dot menu in the top-right corner of the tile and select Edit.
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Navigate to Visualization > Forecast to change forecasting settings.
Make sure that your updated Explore meets the forecast requirements.
- Click Run to run the query and trigger the visualization.
- Save the forecast as an updated dashboard.
- Open Insights.
- Navigate to your forecast dashboard.
- Click the 3-dot menu in the top-right corner of the dashboard and select Edit dashboard.
- Click the 3-dot menu in the top-right corner of the tile and select Edit.
- Navigate to Visualization > Forecast to change forecasting settings.
- Click Clear to remove the forecast.
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Save the dashboard.
